Will NCT07287644 (Bluefin Biomedicine, Inc.) still show a study completion date of 1 August 2027 or earlier when checked on 31 August 2027?
deadline 2027-08-31
confidence medium
tier 1 evidence
64%Asturna estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT07287644 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 31 August 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 1 August 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.
Verified starting state
As of 7 November 2026: NCT07287644 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Bluefin Biomedicine, Inc., with 210 participants. Started 2025-11; announced primary completion 2027-08-01, announced study completion 2027-08-01. Record last updated 2026-10-14. The date under test is 2027-08-01. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07287644
What pushes it up
- The trial is already in the 'ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING' phase, meaning enrollment is complete and the timeline is more predictable [1].
- The sponsor verified the study details as recently as October 2026, confirming the August 2027 completion date less than a year before the deadline [1].
What pushes it down
- The resolution criterion is very strict: any update to a month-only 'August 2027' would be interpreted as August 31, failing the 'August 1 or earlier' requirement [1].
- Clinical trials often face minor delays in data cleaning, site close-outs, or administrative processing that can push the completion date by a few weeks or months [1].
What would move this number most
Whether the August 1st date is a specific deadline or a placeholder for the month of August; if it is a placeholder, any shift to a month-only format or a later day in August would result in a 'No' resolution.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2027-08-31 |
| Base rate | 70% |
| Best evidence | tier 1 · 1 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 60 · 68 (spread 8 pts) |
| Confidence | medium |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-11-07 09:01 |
| Model | gemini-3-flash-preview |
Sources consulted