Will NCT05912517 (Janssen Research & Development, LLC) still show a study completion date of 8 October 2029 or earlier when checked on 7 November 2029?
deadline 2029-11-07
confidence medium
tier 1 evidence
40%Asturna estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT05912517 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 7 November 2029, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 8 October 2029 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.
Verified starting state
As of 8 November 2026: NCT05912517 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Janssen Research & Development, LLC, with 120 participants. Started 2023-12; announced primary completion 2027-08-05, announced study completion 2029-10-08. Record last updated 2026-11-03. The date under test is 2029-10-08. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05912517
What pushes it up
- Sponsor Janssen Research & Development, LLC is an experienced, well-resourced global pharmaceutical company with established clinical execution capabilities [tier 1].
- The record was recently updated and verified on 2026-11-03, actively reaffirming the 2029-10-08 completion timeline [tier 1].
What pushes it down
- Most clinical trials encounter recruitment, site activation, or follow-up delays that push completion dates back over a multi-year horizon [tier 1].
- Any slippage past October 8, 2029, or any transition into Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status results in a negative resolution [tier 1].
What would move this number most
Whether participant recruitment and long-term follow-up hit operational bottlenecks over the remaining 3 years before 2029.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2029-11-07 |
| Base rate | 36% |
| Best evidence | tier 1 · 1 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 38 · 42 (spread 4 pts) |
| Confidence | medium |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-11-08 09:02 |
| Model | gemini-3.8-flash |
Sources consulted