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Will NCT02377271 (University Hospital, Grenoble) still show a study completion date of 28 February 2027 or earlier when checked on 30 March 2027?

deadline 2027-03-30 confidence medium tier 1 evidence
45%Asturna estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT02377271 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 March 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 28 February 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 7 November 2026: NCT02377271 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by University Hospital, Grenoble, with 86 participants. Started 2015-08; announced primary completion 2027-02-28, announced study completion 2027-02-28 — announced to the month only. Record last updated 2026-11-06. The date under test is 2027-02-28. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02377271

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the sponsor will encounter unforeseen issues that force a delay and update the registry after the current snapshot

How this number is built

Deadline2027-03-30
Base rate30%
Best evidencetier 1 · 1 article(s) used
Independent runs30 · 45 · 48 (spread 18 pts)
Confidencemedium
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-11-07 07:37
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-120b (Groq)

Sources consulted

ClinicalTrials.gov record NCT02377271 (sponsor: University Hospital, Grenoble): overall status ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING; primary completion date 2027-02; study completion date 2027-02; status last verified by the sponsor 2026-11; record last updated 2026-11-06; enrollment 86 (estimated)tier 1 · ClinicalTrials.gov (U.S. National Library of Medicine) · 2026-11-06