Will Constellation Energy Corporation's acquisition of RISEC Holdings, LLC be officially confirmed as closed by April 25, 2027?
deadline 2027-04-25
confidence medium
tier 4 evidence
95%Asturna estimate
Resolution criterion
This question resolves as YES if Constellation Energy Corporation files a Form 8-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under Item 2.01 ('Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets') on or before April 25, 2027, confirming the completion of the acquisition of RISEC Holdings, LLC. The filing must be available via the SEC EDGAR full-text search.
Verified starting state
The FTC granted early termination of the HSR antitrust waiting period for Constellation Energy Corporation's acquisition of RISEC Holdings, LLC on 2026-10-27 — clearing the US antitrust hurdle, though NOT itself confirming the deal has closed. Deadline (2027-04-25) is an EDITORIAL window (180 days), not a legal one. Source: https://www.ftc.gov/legal-library/browse/early-termination-notices
What pushes it up
- The FTC granted early termination of the HSR antitrust waiting period on October 27, 2026, removing the primary federal antitrust obstacle [1].
- The 177-day window until the deadline is more than sufficient for the finalization of a single-asset acquisition following antitrust clearance [1].
What pushes it down
- Completion remains subject to customary closing conditions and potentially other regulatory approvals, such as from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) or state-level boards [1].
What would move this number most
Potential delays in state-level regulatory approvals or administrative issues in filing the required SEC documentation within the specified timeframe.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2027-04-25 |
| Base rate | 90% |
| Best evidence | tier 4 · 0 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 95 · 95 (spread 0 pts) |
| Confidence | medium |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-10-30 07:39 |
| Model | gemini-3-flash-preview |